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CR610-627

【OG20-P564-618題】

In Country X's last election,the Reform Party beat its main opponent,the Conservative Party, although pollsters, employing in-person interviews shortly before the vote,had projected a Conservative Party victory.Afterwards, the pollsters determined that, unlike Conservative Party supporters,Reform Party supporters were less likely to express their party preference during in-person interviews than they were during telephone interviews.Therefore,using only telephone interviews instead would likely result in more accurate projections for the next election.

Which of the following statements, if true,would most support the argument in the passage?

A. The number of voters in Country X's next election will be significantly larger than the number of voters in the last election.

B. The Conservative Party will win the next election.

C. For each person interviewed in telephone polls before the next election, pollsters will be able to reasonably determine the likelihood of that person voting.

D. People who expressed no party preference during the in-person interviews shortly before Country X's last election did not outnumber the people who expressed a preference for the Conservative Party.

E. In the next election, pollsters will be able to conduct more in-person interviews than telephone interviews.

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答案：

在X國(guó)，?

?革黨打敗了他的對(duì)立黨派保守黨，即使有一些民意調(diào)查人通過面對(duì)面采訪的方式計(jì)劃保守黨會(huì)贏（民意調(diào)查有些不準(zhǔn)確）。結(jié)果，民意調(diào)查人決定，不像保守黨的支持者那樣，改革黨支持者不太會(huì)去表達(dá)他們的支持的對(duì)象在面對(duì)面采訪中相較于打電話而言（這就導(dǎo)致了在預(yù)測(cè)中支持改革黨的人被估計(jì)少了所以才會(huì)有第一中中的情況）因此沒通過使用只有電話交談的方式可以造成對(duì)于下一次選舉更加精確的預(yù)測(cè)